The Blue Wall includes 18 states that consistently vote Democratic for presidential elections. In 2016 this wall crumbled – states that have voted democrat for years flipped for President Trump. This is how the Blue Wall states are voting in 2020.

The Blue States That Flipped Red in 2016

Maine

Maine is currently too close to call but the state is leaning Biden. As of 1 AM EST Trump is ahead in the northern congressional district. This is where the electoral vote in Maine went to Trump. Right now the Blue Wall is holding in the southern part of the state, with that regions 3 electoral votes.

Maine is the first state in the union to implement ranked-choice voting for a Presidential election. This is also the first year that Maine has used its ranked-choice voting system for e general election, though it proved successful for democratic candidates for the 2018 midterm elections. If no candidate reaches 50%, ranked-choice could heavily impact this election.

Michigan

As of 2 AM EST Michigan is leaning red, and 64% of the votes in the state have been counted. Trump is up with 53.7% compared to Biden’s 44.7%.

Michigan had voted Democratic since 1992, but that changed in 2016. The state that had been considered solidly blue finally flipped. Political commentators blamed Hillary’s campaign strategy for this loss, but if Trump wins Michigan again it may show a solid break in the Blue Wall.

Pennsylvania

64% of in-person votes have been counted in Pennsylvania. And the state is leaning Trump with 56.9% of the vote, and Biden with 41.9%.

Pennsylvania is one of the states that is anticipated to not have finalized election results for days. This is because of the large absentee ballot voting numbers that could not be counted until the day of the election.

Wisconsin

With 88% of the in-person votes have been counted in Wisconsin, Trump is leading. As of right now Trump has 51.2%, while Biden holds 47.3%. Wisconsin is a state that is not anticipated to count the absentee ballots for the suburbs of Chicago until 5 AM or later, so a decision on the state will likely not be made before mid-day on the 4th.

Hillary was criticized for not visiting Wisconsin once after the Democratic National Convention in 2016. This is another state that Clinton was blamed for the Blue Wall crumbling. If Trump wins this state again it could signal a political change in the region, rather than the failing of a single candidate.

The Blue Wall States that Have Been Called

  • California
  • Connecticut
  • DC
  • Deleware
    • Deleware voters also made history by electing the first openly trans congresswoman, Sarah McBride, to the statehouse. 
  • Illinois
  • Maryland
  • Massachusetts
  • Minnesota
  • New Jersey
  • New York
  • Oregon
  • Rhode Island
  • Vermont
  • Washington
  • Hawaii
    • Hawaii has been called blue by The AP, but no official data is available for 2020 votes.

Strap in for a Long Ride

The Blue Wall states will be nerve-wracking for both sides. These states are not going to have all their votes counted before the morning of the 4th, and some will not have results before the end of the week. As of now, this election is not firmly in the hands of either candidate, and all we can do is wait.


https://thetempest.co/?p=159605
Olivia McCormack

By Olivia McCormack

Editorial Fellow